al-Awzā’ī Foundation for Media Production presents a new statement from the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades: "Condolences to the Islamic Nation on the Death of the Mujāhid Shaykh Ibrāhīm al-Rubaysh"

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Click the following link for a safe PDF copy: ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades — “Condolences to the Islamic Nation on the Death of the Mujāhid Shaykh Ibrāhīm al-Rubaysh”
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To inquire about a translation for this statement for a fee email: [email protected]

Majmu’ah Nukhbat al-Fikr presents a new release from from the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades’ Shaykh Mājid al-Mājid: "To Shaykh Abū Yaḥyā al-Lībī"

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Click the following link for a safe PDF copy: Shaykh Mājid al-Mājid — “To Shaykh Abū Yaḥyā al-Lībī”
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To inquire about a translation for this release for a fee email: [email protected]

al-Awzā’ī Foundation for Media Production presents a new statement from the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades: "To the Lebanese People and the Lebanese Government and Its Army #2"

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Click the following link for a safe PDF copy: ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades — “To the Lebanese People and the Lebanese Government and Its Army #2”
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To inquire about a translation for this statement for a fee email: [email protected]

Check out my new article for Ha'aretz: "Will Gaza Be the Global Jihadists' Next Ground Zero?"

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In almost all of the conflict arenas of the Middle East, global jihadists had a strong summer. We saw the resurgence of the Islamic State in the Iraqi and Syrian arenas; Ansar al-Sharia Libya confronted and pushed back Libya’s rogue general Khalifa Hiftar’s offensive; and al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula is once again highly active in southern Yemen. But the jihadists made a poor military showing in the war that broke out in one crucial geographic area: The Gaza-Sinai peninsula nexus, which rates as the most symbolically important in the Muslim world and, as a result, a key location for various global jihadis to prove their bona fides.
Click here to read the rest.

al-Awzā’ī Foundation for Media Production presents a new video message from the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades: “A Variety Of Scenes From Shooting Operations Of Rockets At the Jews #2”

NOTE: Click here for the first part in this video series.

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To inquire about a translation for this video message for a fee email: [email protected]
 

al-Awzā’ī Foundation for Media Production presents a new video message from the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades' Sirāj al-Dīn Zurayqāt: "And For You: The Retribution of Life"

UPDATE 6/26/14 10:50 AM: Here is an Arabic transcription of the below video message:
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Click the following link for a safe PDF copy: Sirāj al-Dīn Zurayqāt — “And For You- The Retribution of Life” (Ar)
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To inquire about a translation for this video message for a fee email: [email protected]

The Jihad Media Elite presents a new audio message from the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades’ Mājid bin Muḥammad al-Mājid: "Message to a Leader of the Mujāhidīn in Bilād al-Shām"

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Audio Message:
Mājid bin Muḥammad al-Mājid — “Message to a Leader of the Mujāhidīn in Bilād al-Shām”

Arabic Transcription:
Click the following link for a safe PDF copy: Mājid bin Muḥammad al-Mājid — “Message to a Leader of the Mujāhidīn in Bilād al-Shām” (Ar)
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To inquire about a translation for this audio message for a fee email: [email protected]

The Jihad Media Elite presents a new audio message from the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzām Brigades’ Mājid bin Muḥammad al-Mājid: “From the Wise to the Wise: The Maturity in Coming Down to al-Shām in the Announcement of the Islamic State: Message to Dr. Ayman al-Ẓawāhirī"

The Clairvoyant: The Guidelines: Measuring Zawahiri's Influence

NOTE: For prior posts in The Clairvoyant sub-blog you can view an archive of it all here.

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Over the past few years since the American operation against Usama bin Ladin in Pakistan, there has been much debate over the leadership capabilities and influence that Bin Ladin’s successor Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri still has over the global jihadi movement generally and al-Qaeda branches in particular. Endowing al-Qaeda franchise-status upon Harakat al-Shabab al-Mujahidin in Somalia, slow response to the Arab uprisings, and inability to resolve the conflict in Syria between the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) and Jabhat al-Nusra highlight how many have become skeptical of Zawahiri’s importance or relevance. And while this is all certainly true, those within the movement that are still true believers in the cause and view Zawahiri and al-Qaeda’s general command (AQGC) in Pakistan/Yemen as the fountainhead of the jihad against the Zionists and Crusaders still heed Zawahiri’s advice.
One potential area of measuring this is the guidelines that Zawahiri released for the movement in September 2013. In some ways, it is a codification of issues and ideas that Zawahiri and Atiyatallah ‘Abd al-Rahman al-Libi argued for in letters to Abu Mus’ab al-Zarqawi last decade when attempting to reign in his excesses during the Iraq jihad. Two recent examples highlight how those that are still loyal to Zawahiri and AQGC have internalized these guidelines. Recently, both al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzam Brigades (AAAB) apologized for killing civilians and non-combatants in their military operations (more on this below). While not seeming like much, it highlights how those that are tied to AQGC have become very sensitive to Muslim public opinion as well as the movement becoming more mature, even if it is still ideologically fringe and militarily radical overall.
Here are some examples from Zawahiri’s guidelines:

  • Avoid fighting the deviant sects such as Rawafidh, Ismailis, Qadianis, and deviant Sufis, except if they fight the Ahl as Sunnah.
  • Avoid meddling with Christian, Sikh and Hindu communities living in Muslim lands.
  • Refrain from killing and fighting against non-combatant women and children, and even if they are families of those who are fighting against us, refrain from targeting them as much as possible.
  • Refrain from harming Muslims by explosions, killing, kidnapping or destroying their wealth or property.
  • Refrain from targeting enemies in mosques, markets and gatherings where they mix with Muslims or with those who do not fight us.

While there is not definitive proof, it is likely that these guidelines helped inform the responses of AQAP and AAAB to acts committed that they then either regretted or realized could harm their public image and therefore apologized and then noted how it was outside the normal framework for how they interpret the shari’a and operate in the battlefield.
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On December 21, 2013, AQAP’s military commander Qasim al-Raymi released a video message titled “Comment on the Targeting of the Defense Ministry in Sana’a’” apologizing for members of his organization killing medics and patients in the military hospital as well as those in the prayer room within the ministry. Al-Raymi stated: “We do not fight in this manner, and this is not what we call people to do. This is not our manhaj (methodology) … We confess to this mistake and fault. We offer our apologies and condolences to the families and the victims.” He later offered blood money compensation and medical treatment to the individuals and families affected by the attack.
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More recently, on March 7, 2014, AAAB released a statement titled “On the Raid of the Iranian Chancellery in Beirut” claiming that there was faultiness in the second suicide bombers belt. It stated: “The two bombs were meant to be in a place where the explosion would not reach the main road and cause damage to passersby … The military operations of the ‘Abd Allah ‘Azzam Brigades do not target Shiites, or other sects.” Rather the attack was aimed at Hizb Allah, which while Shi’a is actively militarily fighting Sunnis in Syria. Illustrating how AAAB wanted to show that they were attempting to be discriminant in targeting and only defensively responding to attacks upon them and their fellow Sunni Muslim brethren.
Both of these examples highlight that the groups that still maintains allegiance to AQGC have become more astute and smarter in how they massage public opinion. That does not mean though they are now all of a sudden moderate actors. To the contrary, this past week for example, AQAP crucified a man for allegedly spying on them to help with drones strikes, while AAAB’s allies in Syria Jabhat al-Nusra still are actively beheading individuals on the battlefield that fight for the Assad regime (see both graphic photos below).
AQAP-Ansar al-Sharia has crucified a man (accused of being American spy) in Hadhramaut #YemenJabhat an Nusra from Al Numr checkpoint with a beheaded Rafidi
That being said, it appears that in some areas jihadi groups aligned with Zawahiri and AQGC are indeed listening to his advice and actively attempting to be more mature and pragmatic actors in some aspects. This is in contradistinction with the now rival global jihadi faction ISIS, which appears to have no rules of engagement and does as it pleases no matter what the consequences. How these guidelines continue to play out and what impact they may have with the AQGC-aligned groups remains to be seen, but it appears that as of now it has made slight differences in their on the battlefield methodologies, albeit imperfectly.